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Monthly Archives: November 2012
Four More Years, Starting from the Top
As Thomas Friedman’s latest brainwave reminds us, ‘four more years of the same’ isn’t just a fading echo from the Romney campaign; these days it’s also a handy approach to writing for the New York Times. While most of the … Continue reading
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L’Affaire Petraeus
The theories about links to Benghazi are out there and they offer the simplest explanation (behind, you know, taking the resignation at face value). But, if Petraeus wanted to distance himself from a Democratic administration ahead of a 2016 White … Continue reading
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The Race Gap
No one wants to say it, but the gap in the election was not gender, but race. The proof? According to exit polls being cited by CNN, white women threw their support behind Romney more heavily than did men of … Continue reading
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A Shriveled Coalition Carved from a Confused Electorate
What was that? Incredibly, Americans voted for the status qou. Republicans can cheer a ratification of the 2010 midterm. Senate Democrats can celebrate two more seats. And Obama can work to make sense of being the first President reelected by … Continue reading
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Prediction for Tuesday
Like a few weeks back, I’d say that Romney nets fewer than 300 electoral votes, but enough that Ohio will prove superfluous to him becoming the 45th President of the United States. Specifically, 289-249, with Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Colorado, … Continue reading
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No Time Like the Present?
The left has started singing the voter suppression tune a bit earlier than I expected. As noted by myself and Robert Stacy McCain, there is an incongruity between this and claims of an electoral firewall. Any partisan benefit from depressing … Continue reading
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Nate Silver’s Not So Sophisticated View of the Race
Nate Silver came out to defend his electoral model, which gives Obama roughly an 80 percent chance of winning the electoral college despite volumes of polling indicating that the race is extremely tight. Silver points out that 80 percent is … Continue reading
Dan Balz Calls it For Romney
Talk about burying the lede. In the Washington Post, Dan Balz writes upwards of twenty-five paragraphs on reading the tea leaves in a close race. He breaks them down to three categories: where candidates spend their time, how states have … Continue reading
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